Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.195596 0.230638 0.269673 0.316314 0.370457 0.431260 0.504652
2024-12-15 0.144958 0.191532 0.249051 0.325010 0.422355 0.542565 0.701879
2024-12-22 0.110337 0.160014 0.226725 0.322198 0.454546 0.630628 0.881570
2024-12-29 0.090872 0.142504 0.216862 0.330597 0.498739 0.736397 1.095508
2025-01-05 0.074302 0.124937 0.202523 0.328355 0.525130 0.818232 1.284010
2025-01-12 0.060756 0.108910 0.186989 0.320523 0.540172 0.883045 1.452871
2025-01-19 0.050088 0.095300 0.172560 0.311318 0.550374 0.939798 1.613767
2025-01-26 0.044263 0.088867 0.168760 0.318649 0.587707 1.042808 1.858989
2025-02-02 0.039086 0.082583 0.164044 0.323286 0.620341 1.140724 2.105331
2025-02-09 0.034360 0.076253 0.158131 0.324586 0.646630 1.229777 2.344840
2025-02-16 0.030697 0.071374 0.154146 0.328736 0.678251 1.330964 2.615582
2025-02-23 0.028308 0.068740 0.154153 0.340561 0.725647 1.465412 2.960251
2025-03-02 0.024370 0.062061 0.145007 0.332858 0.734347 1.529482 3.182349
2025-03-09 0.021792 0.058046 0.140962 0.335380 0.764297 1.638153 3.502930
2025-03-16 0.019058 0.053121 0.134096 0.330673 0.778283 1.716213 3.770332
2025-03-23 0.017508 0.050863 0.132996 0.338763 0.820860 1.856912 4.179338
2025-03-30 0.015540 0.047118 0.127737 0.336325 0.839456 1.948828 4.494913
2025-04-06 0.013549 0.042896 0.120603 0.328275 0.843988 2.010590 4.751504
2025-04-13 0.011768 0.038895 0.113365 0.318850 0.843944 2.061929 4.989828
2025-04-20 0.010920 0.037485 0.112760 0.326344 0.885901 2.212373 5.464859
2025-04-27 0.010048 0.035823 0.111201 0.331086 0.921520 2.351552 5.926984
2025-05-04 0.009147 0.033878 0.108528 0.332415 0.948544 2.472984 6.358858
2025-05-11 0.008434 0.032401 0.106981 0.336659 0.983693 2.617371 6.858697